There is no such thing as a Spanish phrase for “swing state.”
However there are various Latinos residing and voting within the seven battlegrounds that may decide the end result of race for the White Home between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump. So Spanish-language community Telemundo got here up with a time period: “El Péndulo.”
“El Péndulo,” or the pendulum, turned the title of Telemundo’s podcast analyzing the voting bloc and will likely be used steadily Tuesday when Noticias Telemundo anchor Julio Vaqueiro leads the community’s “Decisión 2024” protection alongside Arantxa Loizaga. (The printed may even be streamed on the community’s free streaming channel, Noticias Telemundo Ahora.)
Vaqueiro, 37, shared his insights on masking the Latino vote in a telephone dialog from the community’s Miami studio.
Noticias Telemundo anchor Julio Vaqueiro on Telemondo’s election evening set in Miama.
(Telemundo)
What are we studying about Latino voters on this presidential cycle that the English-speaking media had been lacking?
Individuals are starting to know how necessary they’re by way of numbers. Greater than 36 million Latinos are eligible to vote this election cycle. Each campaigns find out about their significance. However there’s nonetheless quite a bit to actually find out about Latino voters — how advanced they’re, how various they’re and what number of points are necessary for them.
Latino voters are a dynamic group that’s been altering. It’s the fastest-growing group, it’s the second-largest group of voting-age People, and quite a lot of them are younger voters who’re nonetheless undecided and are up for grabs. And typically we nonetheless speak concerning the “Latino vote” as an enormous bloc of voters. The reality is that they vote otherwise in the event that they reside in Florida, if they arrive from Cuba or Venezuela, or if they arrive from Puerto Rico, or in the event that they reside in California they usually come from Mexico and Central America.
What are these regional variations?
We are able to say generally that we see a development by which Mexican People, Puerto Ricans, Central People are usually extra Democratic. They have an inclination to reside within the southwestern a part of the nation. After which in Florida, we see a Cuban American inhabitants that tends to be extra Republican. In central Florida, now we have a Puerto Rican group that may be extra Democratic. However then the swing states, which actually matter this time round — Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania — we see communities that may be very divided.
As an example, we used to consider Latinos in Pennsylvania as Puerto Ricans residing in Philadelphia and within the suburbs of that metropolis. And there’s this entire inhabitants that obtained to an space referred to as the “Latino Belt,” in locations like Allentown or Hazleton with a big Dominican Republic inhabitants and Mexican inhabitants, and the place you see the vote could be very divided.
A part of it has to do with the origins of those voters, the nations the place they arrive from, and their private tales of migration and the tales of migration inside their households. However the points they care about are similar to the problems that an American cares about: the financial system, the price of residing, inflation.
What was the viewer response to that joke that comic Tony Hinchcliffe made about Puerto Rico at Trump’s Madison Sq. Backyard rally?
Individuals are saying they’re outraged and disgusted by the joke. And high-profile Puerto Ricans are reacting to this — Dangerous Bunny, Ricky Martin, Jennifer Lopez — and all of them signaling their help to the Democratic candidate. That may be essential if you consider the quantity of followers they’ve on social media, greater than 300 million all collectively.
So this might have an effect?
Properly, I feel it may. In a state like Pennsylvania, it may possibly actually make a distinction. If you consider the margins by which President Biden received the state in 2020 — solely 80,000 votes — and there are greater than a half-million Puerto Ricans residing in Pennsylvania.
Trump has been polling higher amongst Latinos than any current Republican presidential candidate. Does he have any kind of traits that attraction to Latino voters?
Crucial factor to think about is how these voters might be open to completely different choices. Now, the difficulty they principally care about is the financial system, the price of residing, inflation. So lots of them supporting the choice to the federal government that they’ve had for the previous 4 years comes from financial issues. Former President Trump does attraction to some Latino males particularly, as a result of in Latin America we do have that caudillo picture or caudillo determine of a powerful man in authorities. We’ve a few examples there: Nayib Bukele, Nicolás Maduro and Fidel Castro. And a few voters would possibly really feel interested in that masculinity.
Is a lady president a more durable promote for Latino males? Or does what we’ve lately seen in Mexico the place Claudia Sheinbaum was elected present that it’s not?
We really even have plenty of examples in Latin America of girls presidents. You simply talked about Mexico, for example. So positively no.
Harris did a 20-minute sit-down interview with you. Trump didn’t. (Trump did seem in a city corridor that aired on Univison). Did his marketing campaign say why?
In your speak with Harris, you identified how neither candidate has actually talked quite a bit a few path to citizenship for migrants. Many of the immigration dialogue has centered on border safety. Is that one thing you’re listening to from viewers?
I feel most Latino voters agree with each issues: immigration reform and a pathway to citizenship, and likewise a safer border. But it surely’s true, we’ve seen this shift within the Democratic Celebration, the place we’re primarily speaking about border safety. And now we have no particulars about the best way to get an immigration reform or an immigration reduction for immigrants.